HSE: The share of illegal turnover in the meat market has reached… (млрд · нелегальный · оборот)
HSE: The share of illegal turnover in the meat market has reached 20%. According to HSE's IGMM estimates, only in the first year after the introduction of labeling, the effect of cleaning up the meat products market could amount to 4 billion rubles for the state and 12 billion rubles for producers.
Consensus
- The share of illegal turnover in Russia's meat market is estimated at 20%.
- Experts from the Institute of State and Municipal Management at HSE conducted the assessment.
- The estimation was based on comparing production, import volumes, and actual consumption data using official statistics from Rosstat, FTS, industry associations, and company financial reports.
- Illegal turnover results in losses exceeding 75 billion rubles for legal producers over several years.
- The state budget loses approximately 30 billion rubles in tax and other revenues due to the informal sector.
- Mandatory labeling of meat products is expected to reduce illegal trade and generate additional revenue.
- In the first year after implementation, mandatory labeling could bring an additional 4 billion rubles to the budget and 12 billion rubles to legal producers.
- The impact on retail prices would be minimal, not exceeding 0.4%.
Points of divergence
- Minpromtorg initiated a proposal in October 2025 to introduce mandatory labeling for sausages and meat, suggesting a phased implementation. — vedomosti
Coverage (2 sources)
- HSE: Illegal share in the meat market has reached 20% — Ведомости
- Share of illegal turnover in the meat market has reached 20% — Коммерсантъ