Artificial intelligence (AI) can hit the economy and lead to deep… (налог · привести · искусственный)
Artificial intelligence (AI) can hit the economy and lead to deep restructuring. 'A decline in income, rising costs, and years of uncertainty could lead to decades of instability, sufficient to bring down governments,' Ramli believes.
Consensus
- Artificial intelligence may eliminate office jobs, reducing income tax revenues.
- Government spending on benefits and retraining would increase due to AI-driven job losses.
- The decline in tax revenue combined with rising expenses could lead to long-term economic instability.
- The scenario does not involve robot uprisings or sentient machines but rather economic collapse.
- Highly paid white-collar professions are particularly vulnerable to AI disruption.
Points of divergence
- Economist Li Lokwood from the University of Virginia stated that retraining the population would take decades, not three years. — vedomosti
- To replace income tax in the U.S., a sales tax rate of around 33% would be needed, which is politically unlikely. — vedomosti
- Solutions include increasing consumer and corporate taxes, introducing taxes on AI tokens and computational power. — vedomosti
- Singapore has accumulated reserves of 15.1 billion SGD and subsidizes citizen retraining; Sweden focuses on free services like education and healthcare to maintain labor incentives. — vedomosti
- Russian Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova stated that AI integration into daily life should not cause fear, emphasizing its benefits for science and student training. — vedomosti
- In 2026, Russian companies may continue laying off employees, particularly mid-level specialists with experience and unique skills. — vm
- A non-governmental HR specialist, Zuliyah Loikova, was consulted by 'Vechernaya Moscow' to assess who might be laid off soon due to AI expansion. — vm
Coverage (3 sources)
- "Engels Pause 2.0": How AI Threatens the Collapse of Tax Systems — The Bell
- Bloomberg: AI could be the cause of a deep economic crisis — Ведомости
- Bloomberg: AI could destroy office jobs and trigger an economic crash — Вечерняя Москва