The production plan for 2026 was reportedly approved at a level of… (рынок · автоваз · автомобиль)
The production plan for 2026 was reportedly approved at a level of 400 thousand Lada vehicles, with plans to sell 370 thousand units in the Russian market (compared to 338.5 thousand in 2025 - indicating an expected sales growth of 9.3%).
Consensus
- The Russian new passenger and light commercial vehicle market is expected to remain at approximately 1.4 million units in 2026.
- Autovaz forecasts the overall market will grow to 1.5 million vehicles by 2027.
- Autovaz's sales of Lada cars in Russia decreased by 26% year-on-year in 2025 compared to 2024.
- Export shipments of Lada vehicles from Autovaz were around 20,700 units in 2025, slightly below the 21,000 units shipped in 2024.
- Autovaz's production plan for 2026 includes manufacturing 400,000 Lada vehicles, with 370,000 intended for sale on the domestic market.
- In January–June 2026, Autovaz sold 154,100 Lada cars in Russia, a 2.4% decrease compared to the same period in 2025.
- The company's internal goal is to achieve a 25% market share by 2027.
Points of divergence
- Autovaz plans for an expected sales growth of 9.3% in 2026 compared to the previous year, based on a target of selling 400,000 vehicles. — kommersant
- The company is considering adjusting its production plan due to factors including the strong ruble affecting exports. — interfax
Coverage (2 sources)
- AvtoVAZ Forecasts Russian Car Market Recovery to Growth in 2027 — Коммерсантъ
- AvtoVAZ expects the car market to return to growth in 2027 — Интерфакс