Bloomberg: World food prices are set to rise due to wars and droughts
Bloomberg: World food prices are set to rise due to wars and droughts.
Consensus
- Military conflicts are disrupting grain shipments through the Black Sea.
- Extreme weather conditions such as heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires are affecting agricultural production in Europe.
- The El Niño phenomenon is threatening rice production in countries including Vietnam, the Philippines, and India.
- Prices for wheat have increased by more than 10% in July.
- The situation is contributing to a potential rise in global food prices.
- Fertilizer and fuel prices have risen due to conflicts in the Middle East.
Points of divergence
- Russia and Ukraine together account for more than a quarter of global wheat trade, nearly two-thirds of sunflower oil exports, and one-tenth of corn exports. — vedomosti
- The current El Niño cycle (2026–2027) has historically unprecedented chances of becoming a 'very strong' event, potentially causing droughts, floods, and stormy weather globally. — vedomosti
- Goldman Sachs estimates that the strength of this El Niño could lead to a 15.8% increase in global food commodity prices. — vedomosti
- Rice prices recently reached an 18-month high. — vedomosti
- The Guardian reported in July that a 'super El Niño' could drive up food prices until 2028. — vedomosti
- The situation in Iran has contributed to rising fuel and fertilizer prices. — tg_tass_agency
Coverage (2 sources)
- Bloomberg: the world faces rising food prices due to wars and drought — Ведомости
- World faces food price rise due to conflicts and weather, Bloomberg reports. — ТАСС (Telegram)