Inflationary risks persist due to high inflation expectations, a… (рост · инфляция · цена)
Inflationary risks persist due to high inflation expectations, a prolonged period of wage growth outpacing labor productivity, and a worsening global economic outlook accompanied by rising price pressures amid geopolitical tensions.
Consensus
- Inflation in May 2026 slowed to 1.8% monthly growth and 5.31% annual inflation
- The Central Bank of Russia reduced its key rate by 25 basis points to 14.25%
- The bank cited a decline in inflation trends and improved economic activity as reasons for the rate cut
Points of divergence
- The annual inflation rate in May 2026 was 5.31%, down from 5.58% in April — vesti
- The annual inflation rate in May 2026 was 5.6% as of June 15, 2026 — interfax
- The main reason for the decline in inflation was the decrease in prices for fruits, vegetables, oils, and fats — vesti
- Inflation was influenced by volatile items and the potential for acceleration in June — interfax
- The Central Bank's analysis showed that the monthly price growth with seasonal adjustment was 1.8% in May — vesti
- The monthly price growth with seasonal adjustment was 2.1% in May — interfax
Coverage (3 sources)
- Central Bank Reports Minimal Price Growth for Month Since November 2022 — Вести
- CB Russia Lowers Key Rate by 25 b.p. — Интерфакс
- OFZ Quotes Again Dipped in Negative Amid Central Bank Rate Cut Only by 25 b.p. — Интерфакс