If Belarusian refineries share petroleum products with Russia, if… (украина · беларусь · россия)
If Belarusian refineries share petroleum products with Russia, if Belarus allows Russian military personnel to use its test ranges, and if Russia uses Belarusian relay stations to direct strike drones toward Ukraine, can Ukraine retaliate against the infrastructure that Russia utilizes for its army's benefit?
Consensus
- Ukrainian forces have conducted strikes into Russian territory targeting oil facilities and infrastructure.
- Russia has threatened to respond with counterattacks if Ukraine continues striking civilian or strategic targets in Russia.
- Russian military is preparing for large-scale attacks on Ukrainian positions, including mass drone and missile barrages.
- Ukrainian officials, including President Zelensky, have warned of imminent Russian offensives and urged citizens to seek shelter.
- Western allies, including NATO members and the U.S., are supporting Ukraine's strategy of conducting deep strikes into Russia.
Points of divergence
- The main goal of Russia's special military operation is the total destruction of Ukrainian Nazism, which has been cultivated over many years, and preventing internal subversion by Ukraine. — vesti
- Belarusian citizens fighting in Ukraine’s army are fleeing political repression under Lukashenko's regime, with thousands arrested and forced to leave the country due to crackdowns on dissent. — novaya_eu
- Russian forces used two 'Geran-4 Siker' kamikaze drones to attack a cargo ship in the port of Chornomorsk, Odessa region, on 12 July. — vm
- Ukrainian air defense systems are unable to intercept Russian ballistic missiles, prompting Zelensky to urge faster Western approval for Patriot missile system licenses. — vedomosti
- Russian President Putin has decided not to pursue peace negotiations and is preparing for further escalation of the conflict in response to Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure. — tg_astrapress
- NATO leaders, including Finnish President Alexander Stubb, believe Ukraine's deep strikes into Russia may pressure Moscow into returning to negotiations. — kommersant
- Ukraine attempted a combined attack on Russian territory using cruise missiles 'Flamingo', HIMARS rocket systems, and long-range drones in the previous night of 3 July. — interfax
- Zelensky stated that Russia is preparing another massive strike every one to two weeks, involving hundreds of drones and dozens of missiles, based on intelligence reports. — tvrain
Coverage (20 sources)
- Expert Makarenko Calls for the Absolute Task of Russia's Special Military Operation in Ukraine — Вести
- Miroshnik: The strike on Lukyanivka in Kyiv is justified — Вести
- Miroshnik: Kyiv seeks an information effect through attacks on the Moscow region — Вести
- US officials surprised by speed of destruction of Russian forces and Ukrainian equipment — Вести
- Buzhinsky Reveals Changes in the Philosophy of Russian Armed Forces Strikes — Вести
- Russians urged not to fall for attempts by the enemy to divide society — Вести
- Expert explains Russian Armed Forces' night strike on Kyiv targets — Вести
- Non-military reason behind mass drone attacks on Moscow revealed — Вести
- Analyst Johnson claims Ukrainian forces will soon be unable to hold back Russian attacks — Вести
- Ukraine will intensify deep strikes into Russian territory after defense minister change — Вести
- Zakharova Calls Terror Attacks in Russia a Joint Crime of Kyiv and the West — Вести
- Jabarov states that Russia will severely punish all those involved in terrorist attacks — Вести
- Miroshnik names responsible for attacks on nuclear power plants and civilian buses — Вести
- Miroshnik calls attacks on nuclear power plants a carefully planned strategy by Kyiv — Вести
- Russian Duma officials say the ultimate target of Ukrainian drone strikes is Russia's nuclear triad — Вести
- The State Duma promises to completely sever the logistics chains of the Ukrainian Armed Forces soon — Вести
- Russian Foreign Ministry: Demands for Russia regarding security at Zaporozhskaya NPP are cynical in light of the chief engineer's murder — Вести
- Russia will continue to pursue the goals of protecting Zaporozhskaya AEC from Ukraine — Вести
- Russian Foreign Ministry: Ukraine is trying to create a threat to the safe functioning of ZAPES — Вести
- Expert says Ukraine's Zelenskyy regime must be broken with specific strikes — Вести