Russia and Belarus Behind 52 Hybrid Attacks in Europe
Russia and Belarus carried out at least 52 hybrid attacks in Europe over the past six months — «Vot Tak».
Consensus
- The investigation covered events from April 1 to October 15, 2026.
- At least 52 hybrid incidents occurred in Europe during the period.
- The incidents were linked to Russia and Belarus by authorities and intelligence services.
- Poland experienced the highest number of incidents — at least nine.
- The investigation focused on physical incidents such as arson, drone attacks, border violations, and sabotage.
- At least 250 attempts of illegal border crossings into Poland from Belarus were recorded.
- Cyberattacks and influence operations were excluded from the count.
- The sources used open data and official statements.
Points of divergence
- One assassination of a Kremlin opponent, artist Semen Skrepetsky, occurred in Poland during the period. — novaya_eu
- A journalist from 'Vot Tak' working undercover received an offer to sabotage a drone manufacturer's factory. — novaya_eu
- Russian military aircraft violated Finnish airspace twice during the period. — novaya_eu
- Unmanned aerial vehicles launched by Russia crashed and exploded in Moldova. — novaya_eu
- In Bulgaria, saboteurs set fire to a Starlink station and a munitions factory. — novaya_eu
- Belarus was involved in border pressure, surveillance of emigrated opposition figures, and flights of weather balloons disrupting Vilnius airport operations. — novaya_eu
Coverage (2 sources)
- Russia and Belarus carried out at least 52 hybrid attacks in Europe over the last six months — "Vo Tot" — ЭХО / Новости
- In the last six months, more than 50 incidents in Europe have occurred that authorities link to hybrid operations by Russia and Belarus — Новая газета Европа