El Niño risks becoming extreme, warns climatologist
El Niño risks becoming extreme, warns climatologist — this season is aided by a number of factors: 🔹 The Pacific Ocean is overheating — in its eastern part, subsurface waters have warmed five degrees above normal, and on the surface off South America — three to four degrees.
Consensus
- The current El Niño event risks becoming extreme.
- Subsurface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean have warmed by five degrees above normal.
- Surface water temperatures near South America are three to four degrees above normal.
- Atmospheric changes, including wind shifts and reduced cloud cover over Indonesia, are supporting further ocean warming.
- The Bureau of Meteorology of Australia forecasts that sea temperature anomalies in the central Pacific (Niño 3.4 index) will exceed three degrees.
- A Niño 3.4 index exceeding three degrees corresponds to criteria for extreme El Niño.
- El Niño can trigger global climate shifts, including droughts and increased rainfall.
Points of divergence
- The average sea surface temperature of the world's oceans reached a record high of 20.98 degrees Celsius in June, surpassing the previous June maximum set in 2024. — vm
- Andrea Taschetto predicted that the peak intensity of El Niño will occur in December 2026, after which it will begin to weaken. — vesti
Coverage (3 sources)
- Climate scientist Tschetschotto: El Niño phenomenon threatens to reach extreme levels — Вечерняя Москва
- El Niño risks becoming extreme, warns climatologist - this season is aided by a number of factors — РИА Новости (Telegram)
- Climate scientist warns of El Niño intensifying to extreme levels — Вести
Key entities
- Pacific Ocean
- Andrea Tasciutto
- El Nino
- El Niño Phenomenon
- Moscow
- RIA Novosti
- Indonesia
- South America
- Center of Advanced Experience
- ARC
- Meteorological Bureau