According to previously published Rosstat data
According to previously published Rosstat data, the June result was the highest since December 2024, when 79,6 thousand passenger cars were produced in the country. According to Rosstat and Interfax calculations, in the second quarter of this year, Russia produced 197.9 thousand passenger vehicles - almost a third (+32.1%) more than in the same period last year and 9.8% more than in the first quarter of this year.
Consensus
- Production of passenger cars in Russia increased by 73.2% year-on-year in June 2026 compared to June 2025.
- The production volume for passenger cars in June 2026 reached 77,9 thousand units.
- June 2026 marked the highest monthly output of passenger cars since December 2024.
- Production of passenger cars in the first half of 2026 increased by 16% compared to the same period in 2025.
- The total production of passenger cars in Russia for January–June 2026 amounted to 378,000 units.
- Production of trucks in June 2026 grew by 27.9% year-on-year and by 40.6% month-on-month.
- The production of buses with a maximum permissible mass over 5 tons (excluding electric buses) increased by 4.3% year-on-year in June 2025.
- Production of internal combustion engines for automotive use decreased by 21% year-on-year in January–June 2026.
- The production of car bodies increased by 18.3% year-on-year and 22.1% month-on-month in June 2026.
Points of divergence
- The Russian market for new passenger cars is expected to remain at the same level as in 2025, with a forecast of 1.4 million units sold in 2026. — kommersant
- In 2027, the Russian automotive market may grow to 1.5 million vehicles. — kommersant
- Sales of new passenger cars in Russia fell by 15.6% in 2025 compared to 2024, reaching 1.326 million units. — kommersant
- In the first half of 2026 (January–June), AvtoVAZ sold 154,100 Lada vehicles in Russia, a decrease of 2.4% compared to the same period in 2015. — kommersant
- AvtoVAZ planned to sell 400,000 cars in 2026, with 370,000 for the domestic market. — kommersant
Coverage (3 sources)
- Production of passenger cars in Russia grew by 16% in the first half of the year, setting a monthly record for 1.5 years in June — Интерфакс
- AvtoVAZ Forecasts Russian Car Market Recovery to Growth in 2027 — Коммерсантъ
- AvtoVAZ expects the car market to return to growth in 2027 — Интерфакс