US Warns Allies of Possible Iran Strike After 3 Nov Elections

The US may strike Iran as early as November 4 — the day after the midterm elections in the US Congress.

Consensus

The United States has informed Persian Gulf allies about the possibility of a short, intense military campaign against Iran after the 3 November congressional elections.
The U.S. is preparing for potential military action by moving troops, stockpiling weapons, and reinforcing regional defenses.
President Donald Trump has not made a final decision but is reportedly leaning toward a large-scale attack targeting Iran's infrastructure and nuclear facilities.
The U.S. has previously initiated military actions against Iran, beginning on 28 February, with a brief pause followed by renewed strikes in July.
The U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in June to end hostilities, but it was not sustained.

The U.S. and Israel began war with Iran on 28 February, and key Iranian leadership figures were killed in attacks on major Iranian cities. — vesti
The U.S. warned allies about a possible attack on 4 November, the day after the elections. — vedomosti
Vice President Mike Pence sent a letter to Iran's national security council proposing talks, and Qatari mediators arrived in Tehran with a seven-day plan to build trust. — interfax
Trump is considering using the most powerful non-nuclear bomb in the U.S. arsenal if hostilities resume. — vm
Trump promised not to start military actions before the elections to avoid affecting gasoline prices and harming Republicans, but will have more freedom after. — tg_rybar
Trump stated in early October that the U.S. was having 'productive talks' with Iran, but later claimed there was no one to negotiate with. — meduza
U.S. military spending on the conflict with Iran exceeded $47 billion by October 16, with $29 billion spent on replenishing ammunition. — fontanka