Auto prices to rise by up to 300k rubles from 2027
The increase in Russia's disposal fee starting January 1, 2027, is expected to raise car prices by 70–300 thousand rubles, potentially reducing demand and affecting both the domestic auto industry and overall market volume.
Consensus
- The disposal fee in Russia will increase starting January 1, 2027.
- The increase will raise the price of new cars by approximately 70–300 thousand rubles.
- The rise in disposal fees is part of a planned, multi-year schedule up to 2030.
- The price increase is expected to affect foreign car models more significantly.
- The rise in prices may reduce consumer demand for new vehicles.
Points of divergence
- The increase in disposal fee could lead to a 'destruction of demand' as consumers may choose not to buy new cars at all, not just switch from imported to domestic models. — riamo
- The average price of a new car in July reached 3.51 million rubles, up 9% year-on-year. — riamo
- The disposal fee increase may simultaneously boost domestic production share while shrinking the overall market, potentially harming domestic factories if market contraction outweighs market share gains. — riamo
- The price increase for foreign cars will be around 150–200 thousand rubles, not 70–300 thousand as stated in RIAМО. — vesti
- The price increase will not be immediate but will be phased in gradually over several months, similar to previous adjustments. — vesti
- The increase is a routine, pre-announced process and not a sudden or sensational event. — vesti
Coverage (2 sources)
- Cars will become more expensive by another 300 thousand rubles: expert warns of 'demand destruction' — РИАМО
- Auto expert explained how increase in scrapping fee will affect car prices — Вести