Winter Delayed: Warm Air Clashes with Cold in Central Russia
Snow is expected at night with temperatures ranging from 0 to minus 3 degrees Celsius, with the possibility of weak ice up to 1 mm thick and a snow cover of 1-4 cm. After noon, temperatures will rise to 0...plus 3 degrees Celsius, snow will turn into wet snow, and by evening it will become rain; approximately 8 mm of precipitation is expected.
Consensus
- The weather in Central Russia will be unstable for the week following November 15, with a clash between warm and cold air masses.
- Warm air from the Atlantic, influenced by the Gulf Stream, is driving a temporary anomaly resembling late autumn or early spring.
- The climatological winter officially began on November 14.
- Temperatures will remain several degrees above normal throughout the week.
- Snow and rain will alternate, with snow turning to wet snow and then to rain.
- Atmospheric pressure will drop to 730 mm Hg, an unusually low level.
- The week will see 30% of the monthly precipitation norm in just two days.
- A cold front is expected to pass overnight into Friday, leading to clearer weather.
Points of divergence
- On November 22, Tishkovets predicts an irreversible turning point when precipitation will shift to mixed and solid phases, marking the likely end of the relatively warm period. — riamo
- The cold front passes overnight into Friday, bringing clearing weather by morning, with daytime conditions under the influence of a cyclone. — vesti
Coverage (2 sources)
- November pretends to be spring: Tishkevets gave weather forecast for the week — РИАМО
- Farewell bow to autumn: The Gulf Stream dictates the weather — Вести