Yabloko Could Have Won 20% in Duma Elections
The opposition party 'Yabloko' could have received up to 20% of votes in the State Duma elections if it had not been removed from the ballot, according to independent surveys conducted in July, with 6% of confirmed voters supporting it—above the 5% threshold. The party's removal followed a court decision, while its deputy leader faces a 12-year prison sentence for allegedly discrediting the Russian military.
Consensus
- Yabloko's support among confirmed voters was 6% in July, above the 5% electoral threshold.
- The party was removed from the State Duma elections by the Supreme Court.
- Independent surveys conducted in July showed Yabloko had support from 4% of all respondents.
- If Yabloko had remained on the ballot, researchers believed it could have received 18–20% of votes.
- Support for United Russia among confirmed voters was 38%, for CPRF 20%, for New People 15%, and for LDPR 12%.
- The deputy leader of Yabloko, Lev Shlosberg, is facing a 12-year prison sentence.
Points of divergence
- The study by ExtremeScan was conducted in July, before Yabloko's removal from the elections. — tg_dwglavnoe
- A FOM poll conducted on August 7–9 showed 4% support for Yabloko, a doubling from a previous poll a week earlier (2%). — tg_agentstvonews
- A closed FOM poll in July showed 5.5% support nationwide and 11% in Moscow and St. Petersburg. — tg_agentstvonews
- The 'Independent Newspaper' reported a July rating of 9.38% for Yabloko based on one survey, and Russian Field estimated a 5.27% net rating in Moscow. — tg_agentstvonews
Coverage (2 sources)
- The 'Yabloko' Party could receive up to 20% of the votes in the State Duma elections — DW Главное
- «Apple» could have received up to 20% in State Duma elections if campaign continued — sociologists ExtremeScan — Агентство. Новости