Le Pen leads French presidential polls with 38%
Poll: Marine Le Pen leads other candidates for the French presidency.
Consensus
- Marine Le Pen is the leading candidate in French presidential polls for the 2027 election.
- Le Pen is projected to win in the second round of the presidential election against any major opponent.
- The first round of the French presidential election is scheduled for 18 April 2027.
- The second round is scheduled for 2 May 2027.
- Emmanuel Macron is not eligible to run for re-election due to serving two consecutive terms.
- The surveys were conducted online from 18 to 19 August 2024.
- The sample size for the surveys was 1,764 French adults selected from a pool of 2,114 respondents.
- The surveys were conducted by Toluna Harris Interactive for M6 and RTL.
- Le Pen has been cleared to run in the 2027 presidential election following a July ruling by the Paris Court of Appeal.
- Le Pen was previously sentenced in 2025 to four years in prison, a fine of 100,000 euros, and a five-year ban on running for office, but the appeal court overturned the ban.
Points of divergence
- Le Pen has a 35% rating in the Ifop-Fiducia poll, with Édouard Philippe at 18–21% and Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 17–19%. — vm
- Le Pen was sentenced in 2025 for embezzlement of 4 million euros from the European Parliament. — vedomosti
- Le Pen is projected to receive 35–38% in the first round, with a lead of at least 16 percentage points over the next candidate. — tg_moscowtimes_ru
- In one scenario, Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélançon both receive 17% of votes, tying for second place. — vesti
- Édouard Philippe can reach 19% only if Gabriel Attal and Raphaël Glucksmann are excluded from the race. — kommerzant
Coverage (7 sources)
- Poll shows good chances for Le Pen to win in French presidential elections in 2027 — Интерфакс
- Marine Le Pen leads French presidential rating at 35 percent — Вечерняя Москва
- Le Pen takes first place in polls ahead of French presidential election — Ведомости
- Leader of the far-right Marine Le Pen forecasted to win easily in French presidential election — The Moscow Times
- M6: Marine Le Pen leads other candidates for the post of President of France by a margin — Вечерняя Москва
- Poll: Marine Le Pen leads other candidates for the French presidency — Вести
- Social survey recorded a large lead for Le Pen in the presidential race — Коммерсантъ
Key entities
- France
- Marine Le Pen
- National Union
- Toluna Harris Interactive
- M6
- RTL
- Moscow
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Edvard Filipp
- INTERFAX.RU
- Izvestiya
- National Assembly
- BFM
- France Unbowed
- Unbowed of France
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