Russia Faces Fuel Shortage in September

Planned repairs at Russian and Belarusian oil refineries may lead to fuel shortages in September.

Consensus

A new wave of fuel shortage is expected in Russia in September.
Planned maintenance at major oil refineries in Russia and one in Belarus (Novopolotsk) is a key factor.
Fuel exports from Belarus to Russia have decreased since early August.
Drone attacks on oil refineries are an unpredictable factor that could worsen the situation.
The situation is expected to affect various regions across Russia.
Government measures such as banning fuel exports and allowing sale of Euro-3 fuel have been implemented.
The demand for fuel typically decreases in autumn compared to summer.

The lack of operational management on the fuel market is due to the absence of a central coordinating body, and no unified command structure exists. — fontanka
The situation began improving in mid-July to mid-August due to refinery restarts and government measures, but has deteriorated again due to renewed attempts to damage refineries. — vm
Belarus sent a record 212,000 tons of gasoline and 162,000 tons of diesel to Russia in July. — kommersant
The first fuel shipment from India arrived on August 5, but it is considered insufficient to impact the market. — fontanka
The Indian shipment is described as a trial, with only one confirmed tanker arriving, and its impact on the domestic market is minimal. — vm